Atlantic Hurricane Activity: Could we see an increase now El Nino has ended?
August 8, 2019 – NOAA announced today that the current El Nino in the Pacific Ocean has ended and neutral conditions have returned. This now increases the possibility of above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic this year.
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The peak months of the Atlantic hurricane season are now underway (August to October) and although so far the season has only seen two named storms, NOAA forecasters predict a more lively season ahead.
“El Nino typically suppresses Atlantic hurricane activity but now that it’s gone, we could see a busier season ahead,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “This evolution, combined with the more conducive conditions associated with the ongoing high-activity era for Atlantic hurricanes that began in 1995, increases the likelihood of above-normal activity this year.”
The increased likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season has risen to 45% (from a 30% prediction in May).
The number of predicted storms is also greater.
Find out more at https://www.noaa.gov
The six-month hurricane season ends on Nov. 30.
Noonsite has not independently verified this information.
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Related to the following Cruising Resources: Atlantic Ocean East, Atlantic Ocean West, Caribbean Sea, Hurricanes and Tropical Cyclones, Routing, Weather
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